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Andrew Burke Interiew « Scientific Information « Technology
 
Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 9:19pm #1
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Blogger: Tell me what you think about EEStor.

Andrew Burke: The whole question has to do with whether it's possible
to generate high dielectric materials that maintain high dielectric
constants like 20 or 30K up to high field strengths. If that's
possible then the calculations in the patent disclosure are.....I've
been able to replicate them ok, it's pretty straight forward. The
question is whether you can....whether it's physically possible to
have a material that will maintain it's very high dielectric constant
at very high fields. And the consensus of all the experts that I've
talked to in the field, say that it's not possible. And Richard Weir
has chosen to not make available any test data which contradicts what
the experts say.

B: I thought he provided that to Zenn Motors and Kleiner.

AB: I dont believe that.

B: Why not?

AB: I went there with him with some people who wanted to invest in
his company and he just absolutely refused to show us any test data.

B: So you've been on site at EEStor?

AB: That's right. I've been on site. I spent a couple hours with him
in the conference room and had a very nice tour of his laboratory.
It's a very nice laboratory. Its very well equipped. But he refused
to give us any technical information that would confirm the dielectric
properties of his materials. And all the people that I've talked to
....its extremely unlikely. But I won't say it's impossible because
that's a very dangerous thing to say. What these people tell
me....its extremely unlikely that it's possible.

B: So you had a company approach you....

AB: I had a group that was willing to invest some millions of dollars
and he just refused to offer us any experimental evidence that the
materials that he has exhibits the dielectric properties necessary to
make possible devices that he says he can build. That's about as much
as I can tell you

B: Are you under NDA on any of this? Can I quote you?

AB: No. Yes, you can quote me. I won't tell you who I went with. But I did
spend...we did spend, a number of us, some time with him and I had a
chance to ask him lots of questions.

B: How did you find his ability to answer questions?

AB: For the critical things, he was just not willing. You know,
look, you don't have to make big. People don't start off making big
devices with new materials. They make small devices and prove that the
small devices function the way that you would expect them to function
with the materials that you're using. I make small super capacitors
all the time. The ones I make are a centimeter across....or 2
centimeters in diameter. And I can tell whether a particular carbon
materials I have will behave well in supercapacitors just by making
small devices. He could do the same thing with his materials, ok?
And show the world that, yeah, this stuff does what it's supposed to
do, this material.

B: Is that a traditional practice for someone in his position?

AB: Yeah sure, it's Barium Titanate, the material is well known. People
have been trying to make this high....and they have, they've made
higher capacitance devices than normal. But he's trying to make
something that has energy density better than a lithium battery. ok?
And if you look at his patent, it has all these calculations and if
you use the dimensions he gave, the thicknesses and so forth, it's
possible to replicate those calculations. But you're assuming material
properties. The question is can you develop materials with those
possibilities?

B: And when you asked him that what did he say?

AB: He says yes of course. But he shows you no data! [pause]
Everybody that...you can look in the literature and find, that as you
increase the field, the electric field, the dielectric constant falls
off very rapidly. And in order to get the energy density that he's
talking about, you have to go to very high voltages, you have to go to
2 or 3000 volts and when you do that the dielectric constant changes,
it drastically decreases. Since there's so much skepticism, there's
extreme skepticism. The way you dispel skepticism in science is to
show data that illustrates the contrary, right?

B: Would doing so be a tip off to competitors?

AB: Well, it would show that it's possible.

B: But what would he gain from doing that at this point?

AB: Well, if he needs additional uh......it's not like started this
last week, he's been at this a number of years now. ....he'd have
unlimited money. (laughing) That's what he would get from it
unlimited money essentially.

B: If he provided the test data?

AB: He doesn't have to provide the test data to the world, ok? But he
won't provide the test data to anybody...as far as I know.

--------------

AB: That's all I can tell you. We tried to get some data from him and
he claimed he had it but he wouldn't show it to us.

B: To clarify, the math and calculations all look good but for you
its all about the materials?

AB: That's right, a material at high ...ordinarily a high dielectric
material is maybe a 1000 or so. but he's talking about 20 to 30000 and
he has to maintain those very high dielectric properties up to very
high fields. Millions of volts per meter.

B: You sat across the table from him. Did he miss anything
fundamental? Was he knowledgeable?

AB: He's had previous experience with magnetic materials. I think he's
pretty well trained. But what his motives are, true feelings.... He puts on a very confident front. No doubt
about that.

B: I assume you started with some basic questions and built up to more advanced concepts?

AB: Well he knows what the issues are.

B: But when you pressed him for test data....how did he say no? How did the conversation go?

AB: his position effectively was it's not necessary for me to show you
test data, this is so good you should be willing to ....not ask
because the potential is so great.

B: Did he admit there were still risks or that he's moving forward and
all he has to do is build it?

AB: He gives you the impression that all he has to do is move forward
and build it. He has not made...as far as I knew from the time I was
there...he had equipment set up to make small devices but he had not
used it yet, that was the next step.

B: What about the purity? What do you make of it?

AB: Well, purity is a big issue because......but that's only part
of.....that's been some of the problems in the past, when you're
making very thin devices when you go to very high voltages that this
stuff breaks down if you go to.....because of impurities. It has to
be...I suspect impurities are necessary but that's not sufficient
information. He apparently had this stuff tested at Southwest
Research Institute. That you can confirm. And that's probably
necessary but that's not the whole thing.

B: For your money, you would want to see some test data?

AB: I want to see some test data. I'd just like to see.....What you'd
like to see is some capacitance data for some small device that as you
increase voltage on the device....[pause] ....look there is no doubt
that in a capacitor like this..the energy stored is 1/2 times the
voltage squared, ok? The question is what happens to the capacitance
as you change the voltage? In a usual ceramic capacitor, C is
independent of voltage. In a carbon-carbon ultra-capacitor, C is a
weak function of voltage. The evidence seems to be that in this case,
that at best, C goes like 1 over the voltage....so the higher the
voltage the lower the capacitance...and it's likely that it's even
more.....because the capacitance goes proportional to the dielectric
constant. The capacitance is a dielectric constant times the area
divided by the thickness. The area and the thickness are God given
when you put the thing together. You know that right? The thing is
what happens to the dielectric constant?
[pause]
All you have to do to convince anybody is put together a small device.
And test it at various voltages. And you see what happens to the
capacitance.

B: What will happen if this doesn't work, will it blow up or will it fry?

AB: No, it'll just get that you don't get.....Look I said the energy
stored in a capacitor goes up as the voltage squared. That's why you
have to go to very high voltages. you have to make sure the material
doesn't break down. that you can go to those voltages. If the material
breaks down then of course you'll get....you'll suddenly get a very
high current. That could lead to some interesting problem
(laugh)...you'll get a very high current and the thing could get hot.

But as I say, the thing is very simple: what is required to convince
the world or convince investors, that this is gonna is going to work.
Even if you can make a small one, that doesn't mean you can make a big
one. Because you're making material that is a few microns thick and
when you do that, you make something that is a centimeter across or
makes something that's 50 or 100 centimeters across, that's a horse of
a different color. But at least you've answered questions relative to
the material properties.

B: now let me ask you this....

AB....hey, I gotta go....

B: If he were to provide test data that were reasonable, what would be
your reaction to that?

AB: I would say the problem is not a problem of basic science but of
engineering....being able to prepare the larger...you know, scale
up...

B: manufacture a million of these...

AB: Yeah, manufacturing and so forth. and then if you can make a small
qty of materials, then you have to be able to make a large qty of
materials at relatively low cost. But at least its not a problem of
defying the laws of physics.

B: What do you say to people who are looking at EEStor and scratching
their head? I get emails from people who say they have a significant
investment in Zenn Motors.
Stock.

AB: .....all I can say is I wouldn't put mine there.

B: Is it okay if as I go through all of this, maybe I have a follow up
question, can I call you back?

AB: Sure.

B: Okay sir, thanks so much for your time to day I appreciate it.

AB: Okay, bye bye.


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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 10:00pm #2
Bill300
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B,

Thanks for the article. I have a couple of questions.

1. Did he say at what point in time was his visit? 6 months, a year or 2 years ago?

2. What do you think might have been available as test data at that point in time?

3. Overall, when I see these types of comments, 'violating the laws of physics', have your discussions ever gone to what a modified compound might do? I've read references to a compound modified with zirconium. Isn't that the 'secret sauce' that all we can do is speculate about?

Anyway, thanks again. Love the blog!

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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 10:08pm #3
larry
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no nda, no test data? test results in wipo; if this is fake, he could fake other data too.

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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 10:17pm #4
eestorblog
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bill, it was prior to eestor getting funded. so over 2yrs ago. can't answer #2...just dont know. #3. i'm not technical enough to ask a question like that...but some reader of this blog who is, could contact them directly and then report back to us on what they found....


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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 10:27pm #5
mrjerry
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This doesn't give me a good feeling, i am glad i was conservative with my investment in zenn... see below

Found this comment about Richard Weirs, worth noting and posting here.
http://www.billcara.com/archives/2008/06/bill_c...

Si02. I've heard about this company before and in DD saw that a Richard Weir was there co-founder, if this is the same Dick Weir that was in the disk drive business up in Si Valley in the 80's & 90's I'd dig as deep as necessary into EEstor tech claims. Had the same level of claims about storage devices that never quite got into production. He's a brilliant guy and got things to "work" in the lab, but could never translate into production.

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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 10:50pm #6
nekote
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Easy questions.

Was / is Mr. Andrew Burke aware of the apparent test data included in the "WIPO" patent application(05812758.0) ?

In particular, for example, on page 24:
http://www.theeestory.com/files/EEStor_WIPO_permittivity_table.jpg

Is that the sort of table Mr. Burke, or another qualified independent examiner, would expect to create as part of "component" verifcation? If not, what sort of information would likely be needed to be produced to validate the claim of K=18,000 or better?

If the presented permittivity claims cannot be validated, then such tables are either fraudulent or for some reason not repeatable - aka cold fusion?


Go DW Go - *economical* mass production

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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 11:01pm #7
matt
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Assuming no lies, you'd really want to see a chart+table of voltage vs time as the component is discharged through a resistor. That would unambiguously prove how much energy was stored. The table above leaves a bit of room for doubt -- just because K is 20000 at 0, 3500, and 5000 volts doesn't mean it's 20000 at all intermediate voltages.

But Burke would not have been satisfied with data, because he thinks Weir might be lying, and people who lie can just make data up. Burke would have needed a component to test himself.

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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 11:05pm #8
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nekote, I'll ask him. others are asking me the same thing.


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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 11:06pm #9
nekote
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mrjerry, further down in that same, very long page, in a large mix of conversations: same poster (HNCadet) responded again, to poster SiO2

Si02,

After a quick search it is the same person and the partner Carl Nelson was also involved AND the Barium Titanate was an outgrowth of a magnetic storage medium they were touting to startup a verticle recording medium in the late '80's. That deal fell thru when GMR technology quadurpled storage densities of standard longitudinal recording systems. It's interesting that they kept working with the material until they found a market for it!! A newly invented Verticle recording today uses a sputtered metallic medium instead of particulate Barium Titanate. The actual particle manufacturer might be a better play than the battery user.......I recall that Pfizer was the manufacturer of all Magnetic recording Oxides back in the day..don't know if they still do? Other companies were all Japanese(surprised?).

Posted by: HNCadet at June 27, 2008 11:56 AM

Seems Weir and Nelson have been trying to make something out of barium titanate, for quite a long time?

Maybe they finally found it?
Maybe not?

My theory is that these computer guys were trying to find a way to make tiny, cheap non-volatile memory bits. But ended up figuring out how to store electrical energy in big fat "memory" cells, so to speak.


Go DW Go - *economical* mass production

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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 11:19pm #10
nekote
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Matt and b (eestorblog),

A knowledgeable scammer would make up seemingly valid test data tables.
And would naturally stall independent verification to prevent discovery.

One other item I'd like to see is what happens to the permittivity as the Voltage continues to rise.
Beyond the listed 5,000 V.
Do the EESU "components" eventually run into the (expected?) dreaded dielectric saturation?
They're "normal", just really "strong"?

Last edited Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 11:24pm by nekote


Go DW Go - *economical* mass production

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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 11:28pm #11
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nekote, would a knowledgeable liar continue trying to file patents? i suppose it's possible but surely there are easier ways to scam people out of their money. i mean if you're smart enough to get a patent in this space...arent there alot of much easier scams you could pull off without breaking a sweat? plus, ive spoken to persons who have tried to buy a license from weir for multi-millions--they were satisfied with the evidence he offered and wanted to buy--but he refused because the offer didnt fit how he envisioned handling a certain market.

my opinion is weir was rightly stubborn about giving away his discovery. he upset some of the SME's he met with because he wouldnt let them dictate how to proceed.


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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 11:33pm #12
zawy
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If investors invest based on seeing the world patent and he knows it, then he would have to tell them it's not true if it's not. So supposedly he has to much to risk by lying in the world patent which is very clear that k did not decrease and that dielectric saturation did not occur.


"Nobody is going to compete with us." - Richard Weir, EEStor, 2009

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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 11:42pm #13
nekote
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eestorblog,

Sure, a scammer would continue to file for patents to extend the scam.
SOP (Standard Operating Proceedure) - keeping up appearances.

FWIW, I don't think there's much of a chance it is a scam.

However, the (justifiable) secrecy does tend to lend itself to that possibility.


Go DW Go - *economical* mass production

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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 11:48pm #14
mrjerry
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In the same article, Andrew Burke, an expert on energy systems for transportation at University of California at Davis said, "I have no doubt you can develop that kind of [ceramic] material, and the mechanism that gives you the energy storage is clear, but the first question is whether it's truly applicable to vehicle applications."

hummm ... did mr burke have a change of mind? b - is this the same guy? is he got multiple personalities, he says i have no doubt in this statement and give only doubt in your interview...

http://www.autobloggreen.com/2007/01/31/more-on...

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Fri, 08 Aug 2008, 11:56pm #15
mrjerry
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“I get a little skeptical when somebody thinks they’ve got a silver bullet for every application, because that’s just not consistent with reality,” says Andrew Burke, an expert on energy systems for transportation at University of California at Davis.

That said, Burke hopes to be proved wrong. “If [the] technology turns out to be better than I think, that doesn’t make me sad: it makes me happy.”

http://cryptogon.com/?p=255

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 12:02am #16
mrjerry
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In order to get high capacitance, you have to go to very high voltage," Andrew F. Burke, a research engineer at the Institute of Transportation Studies at the University of California at Davis, told TechNewsWorld.

"They're talking about thousands of volts in a particular device, while for electrochemical capacitors you're talking about three or four volts," Burke explained.

"There's no way you're going to go to thousands of volts in a vehicle," he declared. "Would you drive around in your car with 10,000 volts? People are concerned now with two or 300 volts when they talk about hybrid vehicles."

"The people that come to service an accident now are reluctant to touch hybrids because they know the batteries in these things are two, three, four, 500 volts," he added. "You go to 10,000 volts, what do you think will happen?"

http://www.technewsworld.com/story/55320.html?w...

http://www.rexresearch.com/weir/weir.htm

"Weir says the voltage will be stepped down with a bi-directional converter, and the whole system will be secured in a grounded metal box. It won't have a problem getting an Underwriters Laboratories safety certification, he adds. "If you drive a stake through it, we have ways of fusing this thing where all the energy is sitting there but it won't arc … It will be the safest battery the world has ever seen."

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 12:06am #17
eestorblog
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mrjerry, yep, i noticed that too this morning. i know for certain what he said in my interview. i can't speak for that other article. :-) although, i will say that what burke is quoted as saying in that article---suitability for multiple applications--i have heard this elsewhere....but i cant assess it's validity.


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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 12:10am #18
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Dan,

what you have said, I have heard "experts" in the field say the same thing. essentially, permittivity is a secondary concern. the primary concern is charge something up, measure it's discharge, etc. ie, take your widget, put it in something and drive it around for 250 miles.


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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 12:12am #19
mrjerry
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believe Andrew Burke or Richard Weir's? - point goes to Weir's he has been consistent all the way thru. and having kleiner perkins and lockheed doing their due dilligence... add another 2 points. 3 to richard weir .5 to andrew burke,

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 12:32am #20
nekote
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Basically, Burke said he's not familiar with anything that has such a high permittivity.

And that he didn't get sufficient information.
In essence, he didn't get a sample to test?

Thus he had nothing to evaluate / report?
Thus investing millions was not a prudent thing to do.


Go DW Go - *economical* mass production

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 12:51am #21
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mrjerry, i think it's interesting that we have multiple conversations with a figure like Burke, who, unless I am mistaken was not previously identified by anyone as someone who was paid to evaluate weir's claims. what's interesting is everyone wants to dissect weir's words but now we can dissect a skeptic's words.

what i can tell you is both Burke and Miller were denied unfettered access to all of Weir's available data/info. as you'll see in the Miller interview, Weir was consistently stubborn in providing full access.

depending on where you stand here probably dictates how you interpret that stubborness. for me, i lean strongly towards weir. and you'll see in the miller interview that the skepticism runs deeper, but i am not swayed by it.

in the back of my mind, i'm always asking myself, "what would i do in that situation?" it's an easy thing to recreate. just imagine that you came up with something that no one else thought of that solved major problems---how would you go about getting from having that idea to seeing it moving around in the world? if you have a lot of bucks, a lot of problems are solved. but if you dont...welcome to the EEStory.

i think weir upset some people with his stubborness and from the fact that he wasnt necessarily an insider in the storage world. outsiders dont like that, "who's this guy coming in out of nowhere?"


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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 12:52am #22
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nekote, nail on the head.


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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 1:12am #23
Bill300
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B,

Thanks for your reply. I didn't necessarily expect you to have answers, except to the timeline. Just thought I would throw them out there.

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 1:32am #24
Bill300
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OK, so I am bored watching the parade of nations.

My observation on the role of Burke, et al. I live out here in the land of the VC. Met a number of these folks, including Kleiner.

As a group, their SOP is to investigate EVERY tangible competitor that they can get a meeting with before making their target investment. They NEVER sign NDA's with a potential competitor. A good portion of these companies they visit are drooling at the prospect of an investor coming in their door. They don't need to sign an NDA, (most puke their guts out trying to get their next round done). They evaluate every facet. The strong companies refuse because they are getting called all day long once the word gets around. And it does.

Time to market, tangental technologioes, management histories\backgrounds. They vet and re-vet in their Partner meetings. Each partner plays devils advocate against the sponsoring partner. Then they vote, so to speak. Some partners are allocated limited discretionary capital, some none.

The group Burke represented may have had no intention of investing in EESTOR. They may well have been a backer of A123. Sizing up the competition may have been all they wanted to do. If they figured that they could get an IPO out before the risk of technological obsolesence set in, that would be one of the considerations. If they were A123 backers, then good bet. Congratulations.

My point is, Burke just may have been part of a fishing expedition and Weir didn't need to bite at their bait.

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 1:41am #25
wye
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Great interview, b. Love the forum format.

How do Miller and Burke's scepticism jive with the SMEs who met with Weir and "had a smile on their face all the way to the airport" as reported in an earlier post?

On the surface, the different reactions seem incompatible.

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 1:53am #26
Bill300
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Marcus,

If the group that Burke represented was really serious, then they would have signed an NDA. The fact that Weir did not show the data, whatever that was, tells me that they refused an NDA. I don't have any proof, since that point was not covered in the interview article.

Based on my personal experience where I have sat across the table from 'them' and common sense, Weir would have shown the data if they had agreed to sign an NDA.

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 1:56am #27
satya51
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Marcus, look at the patent on this web site that neokote posted, where there is measured permittivity at 3500V and 5000V and Weir's signature. The data is already public with Weir's signature. My guess is these guys wanted to see curves for which the curve pattern would give clues as to what Weir is doing. The next step would be they want a lab sample as Dan said.

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 2:03am #28
Bill300
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Marcus,

To your second point, they probably vetted Weir through their valley contacts. In fact, probably is not a strong enough description. They did vet Weir. KPCB knows everyone or they can find out with two phone calls. This is a small valley. I would bet that Kleiner and Lockheed (or whomever was the other early ivestor)signed the NDA's, or they were so early that Weir couldn't refuse. It is hard to turn a Kleiner or Sequoia away on an NDA when you need the money. That is what most of these fishing expeditions count on.

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 2:15am #29
satya51
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Marcus,
I maybe dreaming, but I think I figured out how it works, and if I am correct which I am sure of, a voltage versus permittivity graph would give everything away in a heart beat. I am shocked it is so simple.

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Sat, 09 Aug 2008, 2:26am #30
satya51
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If it wasn't for you guys trying to figure it out, I would not have known enough to understand it. I am not pulling your leg, I think that is all I will say about that. No sense in giving competitors a clue with my money on the table.
Cheers and Sorry for not saying more.

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